彭博全球首席經濟學家歐樂鷹在接受《中國日報》專訪時表示，中國應將2024年的經濟增長目標定為“5%左右”，這將有助于提振信心，增強經濟回升向好態勢。他表示，電動汽車、可持續能源和高速鐵路等新興領域的蓬勃發展將為中國經濟提供持續增長的機遇。歐樂鷹還對中國的中長期發展前景表示樂觀，他認為中國存在巨大的增長潛力。

China should aim for an economic expansion of "around 5 percent" for 2024, as that will help boost confidence and revive its recovery momentum, Bloomberg Economics' chief economist Tom Orlik said.
彭博全球首席經濟學家歐樂鷹表示，中國應將2024年的經濟增長目標定為“5%左右”，這將有助于提振信心，增強經濟回升向好態勢。

"I think a target of around 5 percent is probably sufficiently ambitious to boost confidence for businesses, and it is not too stretching so as to avoid the risk of overinvestment and over-stimulus," he told China Daily in an exclusive interview.
歐樂鷹在接受《中國日報》專訪時表示：“我認為，5%左右的目標可能足以提振企業信心，而且不會太激進，以避免投資過剩和過度刺激的風險。”

Orlik said China has the scope to keep monetary and fiscal policy supportive to help bolster recovery of the economy.
歐樂鷹表示，中國仍有空間保持貨幣和財政政策的支持，以幫助推動經濟回升向好。

In the monetary realm, a further reduction in the reserve requirement ratio as well as policy rate cuts will be likely in the following months, he said.
他表示，在貨幣領域，未來幾個月中國可能會進一步下調存款準備金率和政策利率。

Orlik said a forceful fiscal policy will play a bigger role in stimulating domestic demand.
歐樂鷹稱，強有力的財政政策將在刺激國內需求方面發揮更大作用。

The focus should be on spurring household spending and stimulating the development of emerging fields, including providing subsidies for households and increasing spending on city transport and green transition.
重點應放在刺激家庭支出和刺激新興領域的發展上，包括提供家庭補貼，擴大城市交通和綠色轉型支出。

"I think the big remaining opportunity for China in terms of delivering stimulus is to leverage the central government's balance sheet. And that means a bigger fiscal deficit and a bigger role for fiscal policy in driving growth," he said.
他說："我認為，中國在實施經濟刺激政策方面仍有很大的機會，那就是利用中央政府的資產負債表。這意味著要擴大財政赤字，讓財政政策在推動經濟增長方面發揮更大作用。”

Considering stronger policy support, pressure from a real estate downturn, and slowing global growth, Orlik anticipates that China's economy will expand by around 4.5 percent in 2024.
考慮到更有力的政策支持、房地產下滑帶來的壓力以及全球經濟增長放緩，歐樂鷹預計 2024年中國經濟將增長4.5%左右。

He said booming emerging fields, such as electric vehicles, sustainable energy and high-speed railways, will offer continued growth opportunities for the Chinese economy.
他表示，電動汽車、可持續能源和高速鐵路等新興領域的蓬勃發展將為中國經濟提供持續增長的機遇。

Orlik also expressed optimism about China's medium -and long-term development prospects, saying there is huge growth potential. "China's overall GDP per capita is just one-third of the level in Japan, so China is still a middle-income country. That means there's a huge amount of development space left."
歐樂鷹還對中國的中長期發展前景表示樂觀，他認為中國存在巨大的增長潛力。"中國的人均GDP僅為日本的三分之一，因此中國仍屬于中等收入國家。這意味著中國還有巨大的發展空間。”

Going forward, Orlik said China will remain one of the biggest contributors to global growth, creating significant opportunities around the world.
歐樂鷹說，展望未來，中國將繼續成為全球增長的最大貢獻者之一，在世界各地創造重大機遇。

英文來源：中國日報
編輯：董靜